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James Harden has gone Over his assist total in each of the last four games and that includes Philly's poor shooting night in Game 6. With the season on the line in Game 7, our NBA betting picks expect more of the same from the former MVP.
Jason Logan
Last Updated: May 14, 2023 12:26 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
When the smoke clears Sunday, one team will move on to the Eastern Conference finals while the other will go home crying to their mommies. We’ll find out who after a Game 7 showdown between the Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics on Mother’s Day.
The Celtics stretched this conference semifinal series to the limit with a 9-point road victory in Game 6 and are now installed as 6.5-point home chalk for Game 7.
Boston has been anything but invincible inside the TD Garden this postseason, boasting a 3-3 SU and ATS record in Beantown. Philadelphia, on the other hand, is 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS in enemy territory in the NBA Playoffs.
I break down the point spread and Over/Under total for Game 7 and give my best NBA picks and predictions for 76ers at Celtics on May 14.
76ers vs Celtics Game 7 best odds
76ers vs Celtics Game 7 picks and predictions
A do-or-die Game 7 stage is where the stars come to shine. The Philadelphia 76ers need a monster game from their standouts to avoid blowing another series lead, with the finger pointing at guard James Harden.
Harden’s point production has been up and down all series, with 40+ efforts pushing Philly to the finish line, but outside of those offensive eruptions, Harden has posted modest score lines of 12, 13, 16, and 17 points.
The one aspect of Harden’s game that has been consistent throughout this conference semifinal series is his playmaking. The veteran point guard has recorded at least nine assists in each of the past four games, and that’s where oddsmakers are drawing a line in the sand Sunday.
Harden’s assist prop total is sitting at 8.5 (Over -118) for Game 7 — the same mark he’s surpassed in the past four outings. His player projections range from 8.7 to as high as 10.3 assists for Sunday’s game, with my estimation at 9.6 dimes from “The Beard” in Boston.
Harden still recorded nine assists in the Sixers’ sloppy Game 6 loss, despite the team shooting a dismal 36% from the field and finishing with 86 points — their lowest output of the playoffs and fewest points scored in any game since November 30.
Philadelphia hasn’t been influenced offensively by the Boston crowds, shooting a collective 47% from the floor as well as nearly 36% success from beyond the arc in TD Garden. It won’t be too hard to improve on Game 6’s dreadful shooting, which shouldn’t allow so many Harden passes to go to waste.
My best bet: James Harden Over 8.5 assists (-118)
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76ers vs Celtics Game 7 same-game parlay
James Harden Over 8.5 assists (-130)
Tobias Harris Over 12.5 points (-106)
Malcolm Brogdon Over 3.5 rebounds (-135)
+497 at FanDuel
Harden’s points have come and gone, but his capacity to set up his teammates remains. I have him tabbed for more than 9.5 assists while some models have a ceiling closer to 10.5 dimes. Hopefully, for the sake of our SGP, plenty of those passes find their way to Harris. He was MIA in Game 6 but has played his best ball in Boston and my point projection is at 14.3 for Game 7. On the other side, Brogdon is logging major minutes off the bench and doing it all for the Celtics. He’s targeted for more than four rebounds Sunday, getting him past his total of 3.5 boards.
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76ers vs Celtics Game 7 spread and Over/Under analysis
Most books opened the Game 7 spread at Boston -7 following the Celtcs’ stealing Game 6 in Philly on Thursday. That spread bounced between -6.5 and -7 the past two days but, as of Sunday morning, the market consensus is Boston -6.5. There are some sharper books dealing a 6-point spread.
Home court hasn’t mattered much in this series, with both teams unphased by enemy territory. The Celtics managed to come away with a road win in Game 6 despite a less-than-perfect effort, which included three quarters of ice-cold shooting from star Jayson Tatum. However, he didn’t stay chilly long, exploding for 16 points in the fourth quarter — with four 3-pointers —to tip the balance toward Boston.
The Sixers’ body language in the final frame of Game 6 showed a tired and defeated team. Philadelphia’s poor shooting performance and dreadful defense in crunch time let a rare opportunity slip away and stirred up past playoff ghosts for head coach Doc Rivers. Now, the pressure is all on the 76ers.
The Celtics went big in Game 6, swapping out guard Derrick White for energetic center Robert Williams in the starting lineup. The bigger Boston lineup matched the 76ers' physicality and was very effective on the boards, with the C’s winning the rebound battle 50-38 while allowing only six offensive boards to Philly —zero to 76ers star center Joel Embiid.
The low-scoring finish to Game 6 had the opening Over/Under for Sunday’s finale hitting the board at 203.5 points, which is a massive downtick from the previous totals in this series (Game 6 has a low O/U of 211 points). That Game 7 number has since slimmed to as low as 200 points as of Sunday morning.
Pace remains on the slower end for this series, with Game 6 jumping to 96.0 and the series overall owning a rating of 93.05. While Game 6 stayed below the closing total of 211 points, it was just the second time the Under has hit in the six games of this conference semifinal.
Game 7 presents an added day off for these teams, with Friday and Saturday off to recharge. The Over is also always in play with the way these clubs can cash in from downtown. While the perimeter shooting was suspect last time out, Boston and Philadelphia sit Top 5 in 3-point percentage.
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76ers vs Celtics betting trend to know
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76ers vs Celtics Game 7 game info
| Location: | TD Garden, Boston, MA |
| Date: | Sunday, May 14, 2023 |
| Tip-off: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ABC |
76ers vs Celtics Game 7 key injuries
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76ers vs Celtics Game 7 Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Harden Keeps Diming in Game 7
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76ers vs Celtics NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions - NBA Playoffs Game 7? ›
The Celtics are a 7.5-point favorite over the 76ers, according to Tipico Sportsbook. Boston is -290 on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is +240. The over/under for the game is set at 202.5 points.
Who is favored to win Game 7 Celtics vs 76ers? ›Caesars Sportsbook lists Boston as the 6.5-point favorite in the latest 76ers vs. Celtics odds.
What are the odds for Celtics Game 7? ›Celtics: Boston -7.5.
Who is favored in the Celtics game? ›| Favorite | Heat Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | Celtics (-7.5) | +235 |
| BetMGM | Celtics (-7.5) | +230 |
| PointsBet | Celtics (-7.5) | +230 |
| Tipico | Celtics (-7.5) | +255 |
The Philadelphia 76ers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals.
Who is favored to win Game 7? ›The Celtics are listed as 7.5-point favorites for Monday's Game 7 on most sportsbooks as of Sunday afternoon.
Will the 76ers win Game 7? ›The Sixers were eliminated from the playoffs by the Celtics in Game 7 Sunday, 112-88. Boston will move on to the Eastern Conference finals and face the eighth-seeded Miami Heat. Joel Embiid and James Harden came up small, combining for just 24 points in the loss.
What are the odds 1 out of 7? ›| 1 in __ | Decimal | Percent |
|---|---|---|
| 1 in 4 | 0.25 | 25% |
| 1 in 5 | 0.20 | 20% |
| 1 in 6 | 0.17 | 17% |
| 1 in 7 | 0.14 | 14% |
Jimmy Butler scores 28 points, powering the Heat's 103-84 win against the Celtics in Game 7 to clinch the franchise's 7th NBA Finals berth.
What is the moneyline for the Heat Celtics Game 7? ›Heat vs. Celtics money line: Celtics -285, Heat +228.
What are the odds the Celtics win the finals? ›
Boston Celtics Odds to Win NBA Finals
Currently, they are the favorites to win the NBA title with odds of +340.
In addition to their odds to win the conference dropping, the Celtics are now +470 to win the NBA Finals after being valued at 16/1 after the Nuggets swept the Lakers and became the overall betting favorite to win the NBA championship.
What are the odds the Celtics make the finals? ›Boston's title odds sit at -120, while Los Angeles comes in at +550. If you are looking for other ways to get in on the potential legendary matchup, you can also bet on the exact NBA Finals outcome on FOX Bet. The Celtics defeating the Lakers has the third-best odds among all possible outcomes at +500.
What are the odds on the Sixers Celtics game? ›76ers over/under: 212 points. Celtics vs. 76ers money line: 76ers +115, Celtics -135. BOS: Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss.
Who are the 76ers biggest rival? ›The 76ers–Celtics rivalry is a National Basketball Association (NBA) rivalry between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Boston Celtics. The two teams have the most meetings in the NBA playoffs, playing each other in 22 series (and the 1954 Eastern Division Round Robin), with the Celtics winning 15 of them.
Who is favored to win 2023 NBA Finals? ›2023 NBA Championship odds: Denver Nuggets huge favorite to win NBA title. FOX Sports.
What is a best of seven playoff? ›All rounds are best-of-seven series. Series are played in the 2–2–1–1–1 format, meaning the team with home-court advantage hosts games 1, 2, 5, and 7, while their opponent hosts games 3, 4, and 6, with games 5, 6 and 7 being played if needed.
Are the playoffs best of 7? ›How do the NBA playoffs work? All playoff series are best of seven with the higher seed holding home-court advantage. The higher seed hosts Games 1, 2, 5 and 7, while the lower seed gets Games 3, 4 and 6. There is no reseeding in the NBA playoffs.
Why are playoffs best of 7? ›The reasoning for switching the format was simple enough: best-of-seven series meant more money for broadcasters and more money for teams playing at home. Last year, for example, the Golden State Warriors pocketed $100m through playoff games at the Chase Center alone.
Are the Celtics eliminated? ›On Monday evening, the Boston Celtics were eliminated from the 2023 NBA Playoffs when they lost Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals by a score of 103-84 (on their home floor in Boston).
Do Celtics have Game 7? ›
Finally. After the Miami Heat's commanding win over the Boston Celtics in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference finals, the NBA Finals matchup is set.
Did the Sixers lose to the Celtics Game 7? ›But Jayson Tatum caught fire just in time and then remained aflame throughout Game 7, leading the Celtics to a a 112-88 victory with 51 points, the most any player has scored in a Game 7 in the playoffs in NBA history.
What does 7 1 odds pay? ›If you wager a bet on a 7/1 betting odds selection and you win, your total payout will be 8.00 which is your stake back plus 7.00 profit.
Is 1 in 100 000 rare? ›Guessing the last five digits of a phone number: There are five choices of ten digits. That means the chance is exactly one in 100,000. Tossing a fair coin and getting 17 heads in a row: For your first attempt, the probability is around one in 131,000.
What does 7 to 5 odds pay? ›| ODDS | PAYS | ODDS |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | 4.40 | 9-1 |
| 7-5 | 4.80 | 10-1 |
| 3-2 | 5.00 | 12-1 |
| 8-5 | 5.20 | 15-1 |
Jayson Tatum made history in the last Game 7 he played in just two weeks ago. He went off and scored 51 points, breaking the record Steph Curry set two weeks prior for the most ever in a Game 7. Tatum's scoring outburst allowed the Celtics to cruise to a 112-88 win.
Have the Celtics ever beat the Heat? ›Boston Celtics guard Derrick White scored a miraculous putback to beat the buzzer and seal a dramatic 104-103 victory over the Miami Heat in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Saturday.
Have the Celtics ever beaten the Heat in the playoffs? ›White scored on a putback as time expired and the Boston Celtics moved to the brink of the greatest comeback in NBA playoffs history, holding off the Miami Heat 104-103 on Saturday night to force a Game 7 in the Eastern Conference finals.
What is the moneyline for 7 point favorite? ›A team that is a 7-point favorite could be -350 on the moneyline while the underdog on the other side sits at +285. Note that the conversion from spread to moneyline varies from sport to sport. A 7-point win in an NFL contest is not quite the same as a 7-point win in the NBA.
Who is calling Heat Celtics Game 7? ›Kevin Harlan on calling the historic Heat-Celtics Game 7: 'I'm humbled' - The Athletic.
Who broke the Heat 27 game win streak? ›
Of all teams, it was a shorthanded Bulls squad, who were missing Joakim Noah, Derrick Rose, and Marco Belinelli, that snapped the Heat's historic streak. Luol Deng scored 28 points while Carlos Boozer 21 points and 17 rebounds as they helped the Bulls overcome a 32-point (64.7% shooting) night from LeBron.
Who is favorite to win the NBA Finals? ›While Boston and Miami battle it out, the Denver Nuggets are resting up as the new betting favorite (-149; bet $10 to win $16.71 total) to win the NBA Finals.
What are the odds on Celtics Heat series? ›As far as the series odds, Miami is still the -150 favorite to take the series. Boston is a +115 underdog.
Who are favored to win the NBA championship? ›The Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets will battle it out for the Larry O'Brien trophy beginning Thursday, and bettors are already getting in on the action for this exciting matchup. Representing the Western Conference are the Nuggets, who have opened as huge favorites to win the series.
Who is favored in NBA playoffs? ›Celtics favored to win 2022-23 NBA Finals.
What are the Vegas odds for the Celtics to win the series? ›The Celtics are -500 favorites to win their 2023 Eastern Conference finals NBA playoffs series, with the Heat listed at +375 to win the series.
How to read odds? ›Whereas negative (-) odds tell you what you have to bet on the favorite to win $100, positive (+) odds tell you how much you'll win for every $100 you wager on the underdog. So, a team with odds of +120 would payout $120 for every $100 wager.
What's the spread? ›The spread, also referred to as the line, is used to even the odds between two unevenly matched teams. Bookmakers set a spread with the hopes of getting equal action on both sides of a game. For example, the Colts are a -3 point favorite against the Texans. The -3 points is the spread.
Do Celtics have tie breaker over 76ers? ›76ers' upcoming schedule
The Celtics do own the season tiebreaker over Philly, however (3-0), and get the Sixers one more time on April 4. The C's completing the season sweep would go a long way toward them staying ahead of Philly in the standings.
Point spread: Celtics (-2.5) @ 76ers (+2.5)
Who is number 1 on Sixers jersey? ›
James Harden plans to wear the No. 1 jersey for the Philadelphia 76ers, league sources tell @YahooSports. No. 13 is Wilt Chamberlain’s retired number.
Who is the biggest 76ers fans? ›76ers Fandom. Horwitz is one of the most recognized NBA superfans and has been nicknamed the "Sixth Man" of the Philadelphia 76ers and the "Sixers Jack Nicholson".
Who is the best rival in NBA? ›Los Angeles Lakers vs.
The Lakers and the Celtics are the biggest and most storied rivals in NBA history. They are the two oldest teams in the league and the two most successful teams of all time. Both teams have won 17 championships.
The 76ers have had a prominent history, with many Hall of Fame players having played for the organization, including Dolph Schayes, Hal Greer, Wilt Chamberlain, Chet Walker, Billy Cunningham, George McGinnis, Julius Erving, Maurice Cheeks, Bobby Jones, Moses Malone, Charles Barkley, and Allen Iverson.
Who is most likely to win the Super Bowl 2023? ›The Super Bowl betting market sees the NFC as top-heavy, with only four teams currently at 10-to-1 or better just to win the conference. Those teams are the Eagles (+275 to win the NFC/+700 to win the Super Bowl), 49ers (+350/+900), Cowboys (+650/+1600), and Lions (+750/+1800).
What does plus 500 odds mean? ›For example, if the odds for a particular team to win a championship are +500, this means that a bettor would receive a payout of $500 for every $100 they wagered if that team goes on to win the championship.
Who is most likely to win MVP NBA 2023? ›These are the last five winners: 2023: Joel Embiid. 2022: Nikola Jokic. 2021: Nikola Jokic.
Are the Celtics favored to win the championship? ›In addition to their odds to win the conference dropping, the Celtics are now +470 to win the NBA Finals after being valued at 16/1 after the Nuggets swept the Lakers and became the overall betting favorite to win the NBA championship.
Are the Celtics favored to win the NBA championship? ›The Boston Celtics spent most of the 2022-23 season as the favorites to win the NBA title before losing to the Heat in the Eastern Conference finals. The Celtics are the No. 2 favorites for the 2024 title at +550, just ahead of the Milwaukee Bucks at +600.
What are the odds for the Celtics to win the NBA championship? ›Boston Celtics Odds to Win NBA Finals
Currently, they are the favorites to win the NBA title with odds of +340.
Have the Celtics ever lost a Game 7? ›
Celtics help Boston make history with Game 7 loss, though not the way anybody wanted. BOSTON -- Well, that was bad. With a chance to become the first team in NBA history to win a series after trailing 3-0, the Celtics laid an egg and got blown out on their home court, 103-84.
Is Game 7 the last game? ›A game seven is the final game of a best of seven series.
Who is favored to win the NBA Finals 2023? ›2023 NBA Championship odds: Denver Nuggets huge favorite to win NBA title. FOX Sports.
What are the odds the Celtics beat the Heat? ›ESPN Analytics gives the Celtics an astounding 97 percent chance to beat the Heat.
Who is NBA Finals favorite? ›While Boston and Miami battle it out, the Denver Nuggets are resting up as the new betting favorite (-149; bet $10 to win $16.71 total) to win the NBA Finals.
Who are the Celtics best basketball rivalry? ›The Celtics–Lakers rivalry is a National Basketball Association (NBA) rivalry between the Boston Celtics and the Los Angeles Lakers. The Celtics and the Lakers are the two most storied franchises in the NBA, and the rivalry has been called the greatest in the NBA.
How often does the favored team win in the NBA? ›How often do moneyline favorites win in NBA? Over the past five seasons, 67.25% of favorites have been successful in the NBA regular season. Home favorites have a slightly higher success rate than those on the road, with 69% of home favorites winning compared to 64.4% of those on the road.
Are the Celtics a good basketball team? ›BOSTON (CBS) -- You have likely heard by now that the Boston Celtics are once again a good basketball team. A really good basketball team. The same squad that was blowing leads and no-showing against the worst teams in the league over the opening months of the season have gone on an absolute tear since 2022 arrived.
What percent chance do the Celtics have of winning? ›ESPN now gives the Celtics…a 72 percent chance to win the series.